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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+2.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+3.09vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+0.77vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-0.58vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.37vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.58-0.98vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.02+1.61vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.17-1.92vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.51-1.38vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24-0.68vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-0.12vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.27+1.30vs Predicted
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14Colgate University-1.86-0.37vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College-2.15-0.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.09-1.99vs Predicted
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18University of Rochester-3.47-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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4.44Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.77Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.42Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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9.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.62Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.32Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.88Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.3Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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13.63Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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14.03Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
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14.01U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
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16.06University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 16.2% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 18.9% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 13.2% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Colin May | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 9.5% |
| Martino An | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 9.2% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.