← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+4.94vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.51vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.20+1.51vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.11+0.80vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.58+0.85vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.16-1.24vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.78vs Predicted
-
8Queen's University0.51+0.42vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy-2.09+5.10vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University-2.27+4.28vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester-3.47+4.99vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.17-5.04vs Predicted
-
13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-1.17vs Predicted
-
14Syracuse University0.02-4.23vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University-0.24-4.75vs Predicted
-
16Colgate University-1.86-2.38vs Predicted
-
17Hamilton College-2.15-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
3.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
-
4.51Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.8Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.85Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
-
4.76Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.42Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
-
14.1U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
-
14.28Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
-
15.99University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
-
6.96Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
-
11.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
-
9.77Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
-
10.25Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
13.62Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
-
14.18Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 20.2% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.0% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.6% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martino An | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 8.9% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 11.1% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 62.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Henry Sanders | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 6.3% |
| Colin May | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.