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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.41vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+2.67vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.57vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.16+0.66vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.58+0.87vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.51+2.68vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.08vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+1.44vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.02-0.29vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.17-3.99vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-2.27+2.30vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-1.86+0.58vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-2.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.09-2.08vs Predicted
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17Hamilton College-2.15-2.87vs Predicted
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18University of Rochester-3.47-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.67Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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4.66Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.87Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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8.68Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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10.44Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.71Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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7.01Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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14.3Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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13.58Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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13.92U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
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14.13Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 19.0% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 23.1% | 13.0% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 17.3% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Martino An | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 7.7% |
| Colin May | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 10.3% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.