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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.46vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+2.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.58+2.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-0.47vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-1.68vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.24+3.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.02vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.17-1.83vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.02-0.12vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.51-2.22vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.64-0.68vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-0.95vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-2.27+0.43vs Predicted
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15Hamilton College-2.15-0.84vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-3.47-0.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.69Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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6.04Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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4.53Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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10.46Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.88Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.78Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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11.32Colgate University-0.640.0%1st Place
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12.05Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.43Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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14.16Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
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15.09U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 14.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 19.5% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 13.6% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 14.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Bonham | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 25.4% | 23.7% | 11.3% |
| Colin May | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 23.7% | 21.3% | 8.5% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 57.9% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 20.0% | 30.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.