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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.13vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+1.72vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+0.60vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-0.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.58+0.14vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.17+0.12vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.02+1.74vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.80vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.51-1.28vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24-0.49vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-0.64-0.62vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College-2.15+1.20vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-1.89vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.27-0.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.71-0.91vs Predicted
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18University of Rochester-3.47-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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4.72Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.6Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.49Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.14Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.74Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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8.72Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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10.51Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.38Colgate University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.2Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
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12.11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.31Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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15.09U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 15.7% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 20.5% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Bonham | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin May | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 20.9% | 23.4% | 19.8% | 10.7% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 10.7% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 21.1% | 32.8% | 20.2% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.