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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.21vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+2.13vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16-0.49vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.11-1.16vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.51+1.69vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.17-1.03vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+1.57vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.58-4.02vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University0.02-1.10vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98+0.01vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-0.64-1.69vs Predicted
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14Hamilton College-2.15+0.24vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.27-0.66vs Predicted
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16University of Rochester-3.47+0.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.51Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.69Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.57Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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5.98Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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9.9Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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12.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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11.31Colgate University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.24Hamilton College-2.150.0%1st Place
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14.34Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
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15.1U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 18.9% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Bonham | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin May | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 22.7% | 8.9% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 23.4% | 10.9% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 58.0% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 30.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.