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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+3.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.08vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.58+1.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17+1.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-2.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16-2.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.20vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98+2.48vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.51-1.67vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24-1.04vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.01-0.54vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.27+0.65vs Predicted
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14Colgate University-1.86-0.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester-3.47+0.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.09-3.59vs Predicted
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18Hamilton College-5.26-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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4.43Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.88Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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4.53Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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11.48Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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8.33Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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9.96Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.46Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.65Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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13.08Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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15.25University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
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13.41U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
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16.75Hamilton College-5.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 15.9% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 19.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 22.3% | 25.5% | 14.4% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 20.5% | 8.9% | 0.2% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 54.1% | 11.2% |
| Martino An | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 11.2% | 0.6% |
| Emmett Orgass | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 8.8% | 85.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.