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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Katie Cummings 26.2% 19.9% 15.1% 12.4% 10.9% 7.0% 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Lauren Burke 16.3% 16.0% 15.9% 13.5% 12.2% 10.5% 8.8% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Sara Burke 14.1% 12.6% 14.0% 14.8% 13.2% 10.9% 9.9% 6.4% 3.5% 0.6%
Emma Kofmehl 8.8% 11.5% 11.8% 12.5% 14.2% 11.4% 12.7% 8.9% 6.1% 2.1%
Kathleen Hilton 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 7.0% 8.2% 10.6% 12.7% 17.0% 15.8% 7.8%
Ainsley Thomson 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 9.1% 11.6% 11.9% 12.7% 12.5% 12.6% 5.4%
Alison Love 4.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.1% 8.9% 13.0% 12.5% 15.5% 13.5% 7.8%
Brooke Lyon 10.9% 13.5% 12.6% 12.9% 12.1% 11.8% 10.7% 9.4% 4.3% 1.8%
Amanda Tooker 3.0% 3.6% 4.2% 5.4% 5.8% 9.3% 9.2% 14.4% 25.2% 19.9%
Maggy Ashton 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 6.2% 9.1% 15.8% 53.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.