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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.17+2.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.81+1.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.93vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.74+1.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-0.29vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.81-0.88vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-3.35vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.20-1.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Old Dominion University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.93Georgetown University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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6.21George Washington University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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7.35Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Cummings | 26.2% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 16.3% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sara Burke | 14.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 7.8% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 5.4% |
| Alison Love | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 7.8% |
| Brooke Lyon | 10.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Tooker | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 25.2% | 19.9% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.