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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.45vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.10vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.51+5.34vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+0.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-0.68vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.17+0.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16-2.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.18vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.01+2.53vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.58-4.19vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.24-1.08vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-0.63vs Predicted
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13Colgate University-1.86+0.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-2.09-0.58vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-2.27-1.36vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-3.47-1.65vs Predicted
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18Hamilton College-5.26-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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4.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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8.34Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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4.72Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.32Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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4.54Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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11.53Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.81Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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9.92Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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13.01Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
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13.64Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Rochester-3.470.0%1st Place
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16.72Hamilton College-5.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 21.2% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Martino An | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 25.5% | 10.5% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 18.8% | 27.1% | 15.7% | 1.1% |
| Bolin Wang | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 54.2% | 12.6% |
| Emmett Orgass | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 10.3% | 84.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.