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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+4.33vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+1.88vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.23vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.58+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.31+5.51vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.16+3.91vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.17-0.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-4.06vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.24+1.23vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.20-6.20vs Predicted
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12Colgate University-1.86+2.63vs Predicted
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13Hamilton College0.56-3.83vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.51-4.64vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.98-2.17vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-2.27-0.74vs Predicted
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18U. S. Military Academy-2.71-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.2%1st Place
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6.33U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.2%1st Place
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6.12Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Rochester-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.91Syracuse University-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.26Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.94Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.23Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.8Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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14.63Colgate University-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.17Hamilton College0.560.0%1st Place
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9.36Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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12.83Rochester Institute of Technology-0.980.0%1st Place
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15.26Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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15.82U. S. Military Academy-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 17.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 19.9% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sally Wilmot | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kilcullen | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Howard-Flanders | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Parker | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 22.9% | 26.5% | 17.1% |
| Isabel Kierstead | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clara Gravely | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joel Yuhas | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 18.2% | 30.0% | 29.7% |
| Clara Bartram | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 13.3% | 23.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.