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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+4.19vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+3.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.57+4.13vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+0.02vs Predicted
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6Bentley University1.03+3.81vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49-1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78-0.58vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.59-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.80-5.53vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.18+1.75vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+1.11vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.41-1.41vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-5.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.96-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.81Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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7.98Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.11Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.59McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Joey Lark | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 36.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 25.2% | 40.1% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 15.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Austen Freda | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.