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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+3.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+3.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+4.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+2.47vs Predicted
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6Bentley University1.03+3.80vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.94-0.09vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.59+0.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.57-0.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-4.66vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-2.28vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.41-0.29vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.00vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.18-1.25vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.96-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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5.12Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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9.8Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.91Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.02Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.08Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.71McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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13.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 16.1% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 12.2% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 22.0% | 15.9% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 23.6% | 40.3% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 34.0% |
| Austen Freda | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.