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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.03+8.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+5.97vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.59+5.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+1.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+0.34vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.39+2.72vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.94-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-3.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61-4.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.72vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.41+0.45vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.78-4.32vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.18-0.13vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-1.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.96-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.0Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.21Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.72Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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4.8Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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11.45McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% |
| Martin Tipton | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Joey Lark | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 23.6% | 38.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 25.4% | 36.5% |
| Austen Freda | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.