Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Mowry 12.7% 12.5% 11.9% 11.6% 8.3% 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Harden 17.5% 17.0% 12.8% 12.3% 9.9% 7.9% 8.1% 4.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 7.2% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 8.3% 7.5% 9.6% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 6.4% 6.6% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Nicholas Memoli 1.9% 3.5% 2.5% 5.0% 3.3% 6.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.1% 7.8% 10.3% 12.5% 13.3% 11.0% 4.2%
Joey Lark 5.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.0% 6.0% 7.8% 9.5% 10.2% 11.7% 8.1% 7.3% 4.0% 0.7%
Liam Ballantyne 5.2% 7.0% 5.9% 5.9% 9.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.6% 11.3% 8.9% 7.0% 6.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.6%
Samuel Merson 14.1% 12.3% 13.0% 11.0% 11.3% 9.7% 8.6% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 2.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 6.2% 5.7% 7.4% 6.4% 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.8% 7.1% 10.2% 9.0% 8.4% 4.8% 1.7% 0.7%
Grant Gridley 12.6% 11.1% 10.9% 12.1% 11.3% 9.5% 8.3% 8.5% 5.6% 4.2% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline King 3.6% 4.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.2% 6.7% 5.1% 8.9% 7.9% 8.7% 13.1% 9.4% 10.6% 5.9% 1.7%
Martin Tipton 4.1% 4.7% 6.7% 5.2% 6.8% 6.1% 9.0% 8.0% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 10.1% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8%
Anne Cathrine Longo 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 3.8% 4.2% 8.7% 11.9% 24.1% 37.3%
Andrew Reynolds 0.5% 0.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 7.8% 9.3% 24.5% 39.4%
Nathan Drezner 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 3.4% 4.0% 5.6% 5.6% 7.7% 10.5% 19.7% 19.6% 13.2%
Austen Freda 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 9.1% 6.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.