Race 6A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Mowry 12.9% 11.6% 12.8% 10.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.7% 6.5% 6.6% 4.6% 2.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 6.5% 6.7% 8.8% 9.6% 7.7% 8.9% 8.0% 9.1% 9.0% 6.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Liam Ballantyne 7.0% 6.1% 6.6% 8.4% 7.5% 7.1% 8.3% 9.8% 9.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Joey Lark 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 6.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 9.8% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 5.9% 4.1% 1.1%
Martin Tipton 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 4.7% 6.7% 7.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.9% 10.6% 10.4% 9.7% 6.6% 4.4% 1.1%
Thomas Harden 15.9% 15.4% 13.7% 12.4% 11.2% 8.5% 8.0% 4.7% 4.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 7.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.7% 9.3% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 9.0% 6.2% 5.6% 2.6% 0.6%
Samuel Merson 13.4% 14.7% 11.9% 9.7% 11.9% 8.7% 8.7% 6.7% 5.9% 3.9% 1.8% 2.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Grant Gridley 11.0% 13.0% 11.6% 11.9% 8.9% 11.6% 8.0% 8.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 2.8% 2.0% 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 12.1% 12.8% 14.6% 9.9% 4.7%
Caroline King 3.4% 4.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 6.9% 6.3% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 9.2% 5.9% 2.6%
Anne Cathrine Longo 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 3.7% 3.0% 9.4% 12.0% 24.0% 37.1%
Nathan Drezner 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 4.2% 4.2% 6.2% 6.6% 9.2% 19.8% 20.9% 15.4%
Andrew Reynolds 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 3.3% 6.0% 7.1% 12.2% 23.2% 36.6%
Austen Freda 7.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 7.0% 8.6% 9.4% 8.5% 8.9% 7.8% 5.9% 3.9% 0.5% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.