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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+6.30vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.03+7.60vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+2.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+1.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+3.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61-2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.80-3.56vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+3.92vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.41+1.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.94-3.98vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.18-0.10vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.96-7.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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9.6Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.15Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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12.92Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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11.5McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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7.02Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.36Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.75Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.01Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 13.3% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 17.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 37.2% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 21.3% | 14.9% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 22.8% | 39.4% |
| Austen Freda | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Joey Lark | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.