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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+3.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+3.09vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.49+2.20vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+4.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.610.00vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.24vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78+0.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.94-1.06vs Predicted
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9Bentley University1.03+0.74vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.41+1.52vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.57-2.86vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24+1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.18-0.12vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.96-7.20vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.59-7.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.0Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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9.74Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.52McGill University0.410.0%1st Place
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8.14Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.95Salve Regina University1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 12.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Nathan Drezner | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 23.1% | 13.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 40.2% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 25.8% | 36.3% |
| Austen Freda | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Joey Lark | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.