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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.93vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+2.72vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.17+0.29vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.81-0.06vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.81+1.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.68-1.84vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74-0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.52vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-3.26vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.20-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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4.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
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3.29Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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3.94Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.05Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy2.680.2%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
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7.36Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Brooke Lyon | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Katie Cummings | 23.9% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 15.0% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Alison Love | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
| Sara Burke | 16.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 51.3% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.