Race 10A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Mowry 10.7% 11.7% 12.2% 10.4% 11.1% 10.3% 9.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Alex Fasolo 13.3% 16.4% 14.0% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 8.6% 6.9% 5.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 6.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.4% 9.2% 10.5% 10.8% 9.3% 7.5% 5.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Grant Gridley 11.7% 10.6% 11.2% 11.6% 9.5% 10.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Allison DeLuca 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 7.6% 7.6% 11.1% 11.6% 15.4% 13.5% 7.2%
Thomas Harden 14.1% 14.4% 12.9% 14.0% 10.3% 11.0% 8.6% 6.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 3.9% 2.1% 3.1% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 10.5% 11.3% 13.4% 13.0% 7.8% 3.5%
Martin Tipton 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.0% 10.6% 9.9% 11.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.7% 0.7%
Olivia Belda 17.1% 13.9% 15.8% 12.6% 13.3% 7.6% 7.8% 6.0% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline King 3.3% 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 10.1% 8.6% 11.0% 11.3% 11.4% 8.1% 3.6% 2.0%
jack Scott 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 8.1% 10.6% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.6%
Anne Cathrine Longo 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 1.9% 1.2% 1.8% 3.1% 3.5% 6.5% 10.2% 9.8% 24.0% 34.8%
Nathan Drezner 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 4.4% 4.6% 5.6% 8.4% 10.8% 19.2% 19.2% 14.5%
Andrew Reynolds 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 3.9% 6.6% 7.8% 12.4% 21.7% 35.1%
Austen Freda 6.7% 7.3% 6.9% 8.0% 8.8% 9.0% 8.3% 9.6% 9.3% 11.0% 5.7% 5.5% 3.1% 0.4% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.