Race 12A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alex Fasolo 15.1% 14.5% 12.9% 12.1% 10.3% 9.2% 7.7% 7.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 8.1% 10.2% 8.4% 7.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Grant Gridley 11.8% 11.3% 11.6% 8.8% 12.7% 9.9% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Mowry 11.5% 11.1% 11.2% 12.1% 8.7% 9.2% 11.6% 8.8% 6.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Olivia Belda 16.2% 14.5% 13.2% 13.1% 12.1% 10.3% 6.8% 5.0% 3.5% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Martin Tipton 3.8% 5.5% 5.1% 4.9% 5.1% 7.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 9.5% 5.3% 3.1% 0.7%
Thomas Harden 15.5% 14.4% 13.9% 12.4% 9.2% 11.0% 8.1% 5.6% 3.8% 2.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 2.4% 3.4% 2.7% 2.8% 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 11.9% 13.6% 13.7% 8.2% 3.0%
Allison DeLuca 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 4.7% 7.6% 8.8% 11.3% 13.6% 15.1% 13.4% 5.9%
Anne Cathrine Longo 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 5.6% 9.8% 13.3% 20.7% 34.4%
jack Scott 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 9.8% 11.6% 9.8% 9.0% 6.6% 5.2% 1.7%
Nathan Drezner 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 2.3% 1.5% 2.6% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 8.3% 11.8% 17.4% 20.0% 13.8%
Andrew Reynolds 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.1% 6.2% 12.4% 22.6% 38.3%
Caroline King 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 7.8% 7.9% 7.0% 8.1% 11.0% 12.2% 10.3% 8.1% 3.8% 1.8%
Austen Freda 6.5% 7.1% 8.9% 8.4% 8.7% 7.3% 7.8% 8.8% 10.7% 9.5% 7.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.