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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.57+5.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+2.65vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+3.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+2.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+1.51vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13-0.68vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.55+3.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-2.94vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.38-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut0.70-0.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.48vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-0.70vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.23-1.62vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.58-0.98vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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6.51Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.32Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.2McGill University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.06Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.64Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Connecticut0.700.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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11.3Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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11.38Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.02Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Savage | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| John Walton | 14.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Schneider | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Riley Read | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Wittmann | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Jed Bell | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Ellen Fuller | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| John Holt | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 16.6% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 46.9% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.