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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+5.22vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut0.70+7.50vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73+3.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+0.60vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+4.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-1.15vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10+1.33vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77-1.79vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.57-2.18vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+0.93vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.13-5.80vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.55-1.65vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.23-1.74vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.58-1.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.38-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Connecticut0.700.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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4.6Roger Williams University2.330.2%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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4.85Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.33Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.93Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.35McGill University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.26Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.98Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.39Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schneider | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ellen Fuller | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Jed Bell | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Savage | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| John Holt | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| Riley Read | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Wittmann | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 47.7% |
| Anthony Root | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.