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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.74+5.43vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+2.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+1.04vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.38+2.77vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13-0.77vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10+1.55vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.55+2.32vs Predicted
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9Yale University0.23+2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.73-3.37vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.57-3.92vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.70-1.88vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-6.37vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.97vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.58-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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4.62Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.04Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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10.32McGill University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.21Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Connecticut0.700.0%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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11.03Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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13.01Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schneider | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| John Walton | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jed Bell | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| John Wittmann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 9.2% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 13.8% |
| Zachary Champney | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ellen Fuller | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 7.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John Holt | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.