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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+3.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.68+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.34+2.34vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.81+1.35vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.17-2.57vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74-0.64vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.98-2.05vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.20-1.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.96vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.24-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.33U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.2%1st Place
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6.35Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University3.170.2%1st Place
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6.36George Washington University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.980.1%1st Place
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7.76Fordham University1.200.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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9.37William and Mary0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sara Burke | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alison Love | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Katie Cummings | 21.2% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Ainsley Thomson | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Tooker | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 12.2% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 34.7% |
| Liz Wolfe | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.