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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+9.72vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.55+8.06vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+1.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.38+3.70vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+3.68vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.02-1.27vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10+0.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.28-4.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.74-3.34vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.33-6.04vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut0.19-0.53vs Predicted
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13Yale University0.23-1.76vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.78-0.73vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.72Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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10.06McGill University0.550.0%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University2.610.2%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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8.62Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.93Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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11.24Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.27Bentley University-0.780.0%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Holt | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 11.9% |
| John Wittmann | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 18.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Root | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| John Duncan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Riley Read | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Walton | 12.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 14.8% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 19.0% | 12.6% |
| Kailey Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 49.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.