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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.74+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.02+2.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+0.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.64vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-1.03vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.13-1.61vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.38-0.27vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10-0.48vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.55+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.08-2.28vs Predicted
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12Yale University0.23-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.19-1.61vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-3.02vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.58-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Tufts University2.610.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
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4.85Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.73Salve Regina University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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10.3McGill University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.36Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
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10.98Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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12.9Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 18.7% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 14.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Root | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| John Wittmann | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| John Duncan | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| Danielle Elson | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| John Holt | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 12.3% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.