Race 12B

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Charlie Hibben 19.6% 18.2% 14.1% 11.5% 11.1% 8.2% 5.9% 4.4% 2.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Schneider 7.4% 8.4% 9.9% 10.4% 8.0% 9.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.1% 6.3% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.0%
John Walton 14.2% 12.6% 12.6% 11.4% 13.3% 9.4% 8.8% 6.2% 5.0% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Root 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 7.9% 6.9% 7.6% 9.1% 9.3% 9.3% 9.1% 8.1% 7.5% 4.9% 2.7% 0.5%
Lucie Ford 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 5.4% 5.4% 7.2% 6.1% 7.2% 9.6% 10.0% 10.9% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3%
Riley Read 10.9% 10.8% 12.3% 11.1% 11.8% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 6.4% 3.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wittmann 3.5% 2.8% 3.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 7.5% 9.9% 12.3% 11.2% 12.2% 11.9% 6.1%
Blaire McCarthy 13.6% 14.4% 11.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.4% 8.4% 5.9% 5.4% 4.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 3.7% 2.7% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 8.7% 10.0% 9.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.8% 7.3% 4.9% 1.6%
Madeline Kaller 3.2% 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 5.1% 6.4% 7.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.4% 12.4% 10.7% 10.9% 6.6% 3.8%
Adam Wolnikowski 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 1.4% 3.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.5% 7.2% 8.8% 11.3% 12.5% 17.4% 14.6%
Kylie Castellano 9.3% 10.4% 9.6% 11.2% 9.5% 9.3% 8.6% 10.2% 7.7% 6.9% 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Danielle Elson 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.2% 4.1% 3.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 10.0% 17.1% 16.9% 15.8%
John Holt 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.0% 6.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.0% 11.1% 15.0% 16.5% 11.2%
Alexander Kostas 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 4.1% 3.9% 8.8% 8.9% 16.8% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.