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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+6.62vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.03vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+4.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.12+6.98vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.24vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.16vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-2.34vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.91-0.04vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-1.67vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.75-1.26vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.63+0.64vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.69-4.39vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.35-3.81vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.73-6.23vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.82-3.67vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.06-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.39George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.52U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Naval Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.66George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.96Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.74Georgetown University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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13.64University of Virginia0.630.0%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.19Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.77George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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15.27Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kimmie Leonard | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Davis | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Zoe Harding | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.6% |
| Emily Key | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.