← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.12+11.22vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.01vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.75+6.89vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.76+1.68vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.36vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.43vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.35+0.21vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.14-0.05vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.69+0.89vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.91-0.72vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-1.69vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.43vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia0.63+0.60vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.07vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia0.82-1.83vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.73-6.21vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.11-8.69vs Predicted
-
18Christopher Newport University0.06-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.22U. S. Naval Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
7.01University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
9.89Georgetown University1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.68George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
5.57U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.21George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.95Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.89Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
9.28Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
9.31Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
13.6University of Virginia0.630.0%1st Place
-
10.93Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.17University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
-
9.79George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
-
15.27Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimmie Leonard | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Davis | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Riley Legault | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Zoe Harding | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emily Key | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.