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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.64+0.74vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.19+0.50vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-1.47+0.87vs Predicted
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4Miami University-1.10-0.49vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.95-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Ohio State University0.6451.4%1st Place
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2.5Miami University-0.1922.1%1st Place
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3.87Hillsdale College-1.477.1%1st Place
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3.51Miami University-1.109.2%1st Place
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3.38Ohio State University-0.9510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Hershey | 51.4% | 29.6% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Drobny | 22.1% | 31.7% | 26.3% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
| Luka Stanic | 7.1% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 43.5% |
| Henry Wilson | 9.2% | 14.2% | 20.4% | 28.7% | 27.5% |
| Dylan Jones | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 28.6% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.