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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lauren Burke 13.7% 13.9% 15.1% 14.4% 12.9% 12.1% 9.6% 4.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Sarah Yuskaitis 19.3% 18.8% 13.6% 13.4% 11.0% 10.1% 8.1% 2.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Katie Cummings 20.3% 18.1% 17.1% 13.5% 12.7% 8.6% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Alison Love 4.8% 5.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 14.3% 15.3% 14.2% 9.7% 4.1%
Ainsley Thomson 6.5% 7.3% 9.4% 8.3% 9.6% 12.2% 12.2% 13.9% 10.3% 8.5% 1.8%
Sara Burke 13.2% 14.1% 11.9% 13.5% 14.1% 10.5% 9.1% 6.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4%
Kathleen Hilton 6.2% 5.8% 7.6% 7.5% 8.9% 11.6% 11.5% 13.8% 13.6% 10.6% 2.9%
Emma Kofmehl 10.2% 9.9% 11.8% 12.5% 12.1% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 8.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Amanda Tooker 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 7.0% 9.3% 14.2% 17.5% 19.2% 12.9%
Liz Wolfe 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 4.3% 6.6% 11.3% 18.7% 47.0%
Maggy Ashton 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 5.5% 9.5% 13.5% 26.8% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.