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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.35+10.39vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+7.22vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11+4.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+3.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+0.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.44vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.69+0.84vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University1.75-0.07vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.12-1.08vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-6.19vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.73-5.35vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-2.74vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.63-3.11vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.06-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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5.9George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.24George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.84Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.93Georgetown University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.81Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.65George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Virginia0.630.0%1st Place
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15.25Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Patterson | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Riley Legault | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Davis | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kimmie Leonard | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| Zoe Harding | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| Emily Key | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 19.9% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.