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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.11vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+3.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+6.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.35vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+3.05vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.24vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69+2.88vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.35+3.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.51vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.60vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.67vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.75-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-4.97vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.12-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.82-1.86vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.63-2.14vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.73-7.11vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.06-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.2Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Naval Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Virginia0.630.0%1st Place
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9.89George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.27Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Riley Legault | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Davis | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kimmie Leonard | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Katie Purcell | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.5% |
| Zoe Harding | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Key | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.