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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.26vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+5.50vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+5.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.12+7.21vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.14vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+0.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14+0.54vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-3.49vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+0.36vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-2.37vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.11-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.63-0.08vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.69-4.69vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.82-3.70vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.06-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Naval Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.84George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.54Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.51George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.36Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.63Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.57University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Virginia0.630.0%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.37George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Virginia0.820.0%1st Place
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14.45Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kimmie Leonard | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Ungar | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Zoe Harding | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 17.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| Katie Purcell | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% |
| Emily Key | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 17.7% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.