Race 1A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Scott Rasmussen 7.4% 8.8% 12.6% 11.1% 13.2% 12.5% 12.3% 10.5% 6.6% 4.2% 0.8%
Thomas Whittemore 13.0% 13.3% 14.1% 14.1% 12.5% 9.9% 10.3% 7.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.0%
Perham Black 7.0% 5.5% 8.7% 9.2% 11.1% 11.3% 12.4% 13.5% 11.2% 7.2% 2.9%
Michael O'Flaherty 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 9.4% 10.5% 12.6% 12.7% 13.8% 8.8% 7.2% 1.7%
Javier De urdanibia panos 26.9% 22.9% 14.8% 12.6% 8.6% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Ben Palmer 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 12.1% 22.2% 42.3%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.9% 3.8% 3.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 8.5% 10.9% 19.3% 19.3% 13.9%
Jackson McCoy 18.3% 19.6% 15.9% 13.3% 10.4% 9.3% 7.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Cameron Nash 7.0% 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.9% 12.1% 11.9% 11.8% 11.6% 6.4% 3.0%
Mott Blair 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.0% 7.3% 13.9% 23.2% 32.8%
Alexander Bowen 7.1% 6.8% 9.6% 10.0% 11.3% 10.6% 10.5% 14.1% 9.9% 7.6% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.