Race 2A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael O'Flaherty 5.4% 8.7% 8.8% 9.1% 12.6% 11.2% 13.9% 13.4% 9.9% 5.3% 1.7%
Jackson McCoy 18.7% 17.1% 15.6% 13.7% 12.7% 10.1% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Thomas Whittemore 12.6% 12.6% 11.9% 14.5% 12.9% 11.8% 10.1% 7.0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Cameron Nash 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 8.8% 12.0% 10.9% 13.9% 12.6% 10.4% 6.4% 2.9%
Mott Blair 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.2% 3.0% 4.4% 5.8% 7.0% 12.8% 22.3% 35.7%
Javier De urdanibia panos 25.4% 21.5% 17.4% 13.1% 7.7% 7.2% 3.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Scott Rasmussen 10.7% 9.4% 12.0% 13.7% 10.2% 11.3% 11.0% 8.9% 8.0% 3.4% 1.4%
Ben Palmer 1.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 4.6% 7.7% 13.1% 22.5% 38.5%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.8% 3.8% 2.6% 4.3% 6.1% 6.5% 7.2% 9.7% 19.1% 22.3% 15.6%
Alexander Bowen 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 9.2% 8.8% 11.5% 12.0% 14.6% 10.2% 8.4% 1.9%
Perham Black 7.0% 9.2% 9.4% 9.7% 11.0% 11.3% 11.3% 12.7% 9.6% 7.1% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.