Race 3A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael O'Flaherty 6.1% 7.4% 9.1% 11.4% 10.0% 13.3% 13.7% 11.7% 10.5% 5.7% 1.1%
Cameron Nash 6.6% 8.0% 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 13.2% 13.4% 12.4% 9.4% 6.2% 2.2%
Scott Rasmussen 8.8% 8.7% 10.1% 11.0% 13.3% 11.1% 12.6% 10.8% 8.4% 4.4% 0.8%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.3% 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 7.9% 10.3% 19.2% 22.0% 16.7%
Javier De urdanibia panos 28.3% 20.3% 16.3% 11.7% 9.6% 6.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Mott Blair 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 4.7% 7.6% 13.1% 23.3% 35.9%
Alexander Bowen 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.7% 10.3% 12.1% 14.2% 10.4% 6.8% 2.5%
Thomas Whittemore 13.9% 15.4% 14.5% 11.9% 13.1% 9.6% 8.1% 7.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 16.5% 18.6% 15.6% 14.3% 11.1% 9.6% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Ben Palmer 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 3.1% 5.9% 6.6% 11.8% 23.2% 38.6%
Perham Black 7.8% 7.3% 10.0% 10.9% 10.3% 12.7% 11.0% 12.0% 10.3% 5.6% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.