Race 4A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 14.9% 18.1% 16.3% 15.3% 12.0% 9.7% 7.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.3% 2.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.6% 7.1% 8.9% 9.9% 19.3% 21.3% 14.3%
Thomas Whittemore 11.6% 12.1% 14.1% 11.6% 13.7% 12.2% 10.7% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Alexander Bowen 5.5% 6.4% 7.2% 9.1% 9.3% 11.9% 13.8% 14.0% 12.2% 7.7% 2.9%
Mott Blair 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 9.4% 12.3% 23.2% 34.0%
Scott Rasmussen 8.6% 11.3% 10.1% 11.4% 11.8% 11.9% 11.0% 9.7% 7.5% 5.2% 1.5%
Javier De urdanibia panos 28.9% 21.8% 15.0% 12.1% 9.5% 6.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Perham Black 8.3% 6.8% 9.2% 10.5% 12.5% 10.5% 11.3% 12.9% 10.4% 5.6% 2.0%
Ben Palmer 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 3.8% 6.9% 10.8% 23.2% 41.7%
Cameron Nash 7.7% 8.2% 9.6% 10.1% 9.9% 10.4% 13.3% 11.9% 11.4% 5.7% 1.8%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.0% 9.2% 9.6% 10.6% 10.8% 12.3% 11.4% 11.7% 9.5% 5.4% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.