Race 5A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Scott Rasmussen 7.2% 10.6% 9.7% 12.4% 12.1% 11.9% 12.4% 11.4% 7.9% 3.4% 1.0%
Alexander Bowen 7.3% 6.2% 8.2% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 12.4% 12.5% 12.9% 8.2% 2.5%
Javier De urdanibia panos 23.6% 20.9% 18.2% 13.4% 10.8% 6.9% 3.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 6.6% 8.0% 8.5% 7.8% 11.0% 14.2% 12.4% 13.1% 10.2% 5.7% 2.5%
Mott Blair 1.2% 2.5% 2.1% 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 8.4% 13.8% 21.9% 34.9%
Cameron Nash 7.8% 7.6% 8.0% 10.0% 11.0% 11.7% 13.7% 10.5% 9.6% 7.7% 2.4%
Ben Palmer 1.4% 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 2.5% 4.3% 4.9% 7.2% 12.1% 21.7% 38.9%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.1% 3.0% 2.9% 4.8% 7.2% 7.0% 9.2% 11.6% 14.6% 21.0% 15.6%
Thomas Whittemore 12.8% 13.0% 14.7% 12.0% 12.1% 11.1% 11.3% 6.1% 4.3% 2.2% 0.4%
Perham Black 8.5% 6.8% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.0% 13.0% 11.3% 7.4% 1.6%
Jackson McCoy 20.5% 18.7% 15.3% 15.5% 9.6% 8.0% 5.1% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.