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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.23+4.92vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+2.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14+0.90vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49-2.89vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.28+0.75vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.20-2.22vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-2.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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4.37Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.9Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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9.12Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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5.19Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.11Boston University3.490.3%1st Place
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7.75Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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5.78Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Nash | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 16.5% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 25.5% | 36.4% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 26.8% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 13.5% |
| Perham Black | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Alexander Bowen | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 22.8% | 39.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.