Race 7A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Scott Rasmussen 7.6% 9.9% 10.2% 10.8% 13.5% 13.5% 12.2% 10.3% 7.1% 4.3% 0.6%
Javier De urdanibia panos 27.5% 20.5% 15.9% 13.4% 9.8% 6.7% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Bowen 6.4% 5.6% 7.3% 8.4% 10.0% 11.6% 12.5% 14.1% 11.9% 9.3% 2.9%
Jackson McCoy 16.4% 16.5% 17.0% 14.3% 12.4% 9.2% 6.4% 4.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.4% 7.8% 9.9% 10.5% 10.6% 10.8% 11.9% 12.2% 10.8% 5.1% 2.0%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.3% 3.2% 4.3% 4.6% 4.5% 6.6% 9.4% 10.7% 20.1% 16.9% 17.4%
Mott Blair 2.0% 3.0% 2.8% 2.1% 2.6% 4.7% 6.3% 6.7% 13.9% 23.0% 32.9%
Thomas Whittemore 13.3% 15.5% 13.3% 14.0% 11.2% 10.4% 8.9% 7.2% 3.9% 2.3% 0.0%
Cameron Nash 7.3% 7.7% 8.0% 9.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.7% 13.7% 10.0% 6.7% 3.1%
Ben Palmer 1.3% 1.9% 1.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 5.2% 7.0% 9.2% 25.1% 39.1%
Perham Black 7.5% 8.4% 9.7% 9.7% 10.9% 11.8% 11.8% 11.7% 10.2% 6.5% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.