Race 8A

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cameron Nash 5.7% 8.3% 8.0% 10.5% 9.5% 12.2% 13.7% 14.2% 9.8% 5.9% 2.2%
Scott Rasmussen 9.5% 8.9% 11.8% 11.3% 11.2% 12.1% 12.3% 9.8% 8.7% 3.3% 1.1%
Jackson McCoy 16.1% 19.0% 14.7% 11.9% 13.8% 8.9% 8.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Javier De urdanibia panos 24.9% 20.3% 16.0% 14.5% 11.2% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.7% 8.7% 9.9% 8.8% 10.3% 10.4% 13.2% 12.3% 9.4% 6.9% 1.4%
Thomas Whittemore 12.8% 13.9% 14.0% 13.2% 12.5% 11.0% 7.8% 6.8% 4.7% 2.8% 0.5%
Alexander Bowen 8.2% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 10.1% 12.7% 12.0% 12.7% 10.5% 7.9% 1.9%
Perham Black 7.8% 6.9% 9.4% 11.9% 9.9% 12.9% 9.9% 10.0% 12.6% 6.9% 1.8%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.2% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 5.2% 5.7% 8.6% 11.8% 18.2% 19.4% 17.2%
Mott Blair 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 8.1% 11.0% 23.4% 35.4%
Ben Palmer 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 7.2% 12.3% 22.6% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.