Race 9A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jackson McCoy 19.0% 20.5% 14.2% 13.8% 12.7% 8.6% 6.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Scott Rasmussen 10.8% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 12.9% 12.9% 9.3% 9.7% 7.7% 2.6% 1.3%
Alexander Bowen 7.9% 6.8% 6.9% 10.0% 10.2% 10.2% 12.4% 11.5% 12.5% 8.7% 2.9%
Michael O'Flaherty 8.5% 7.8% 9.0% 10.5% 9.3% 13.7% 11.1% 13.2% 8.8% 6.2% 1.9%
Perham Black 8.7% 9.9% 9.6% 8.5% 10.3% 9.4% 12.8% 12.2% 9.4% 7.4% 1.8%
Thomas Whittemore 14.9% 15.5% 13.4% 14.8% 10.1% 10.3% 7.5% 6.0% 4.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Kyle Dochoda 13.6% 12.3% 15.6% 10.9% 11.6% 9.5% 11.5% 7.4% 4.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Cameron Nash 9.1% 8.6% 11.1% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 9.6% 11.1% 10.0% 6.3% 1.6%
Mott Blair 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 3.4% 5.5% 7.5% 12.3% 23.3% 36.0%
Ben Palmer 2.0% 1.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.0% 4.2% 5.4% 7.3% 11.8% 20.4% 40.4%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 7.8% 5.8% 8.8% 11.0% 17.4% 19.3% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.