Race 10A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael O'Flaherty 7.7% 8.7% 9.2% 10.9% 11.4% 11.1% 12.7% 12.6% 10.4% 3.7% 1.6%
Jackson McCoy 22.1% 18.9% 16.2% 12.5% 10.3% 9.1% 5.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Rasmussen 9.7% 10.8% 10.1% 12.7% 10.9% 12.1% 11.7% 9.5% 7.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Kyle Dochoda 12.1% 10.1% 12.2% 12.7% 13.3% 11.0% 9.5% 9.5% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Alexander Bowen 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 9.5% 10.1% 9.2% 12.4% 11.9% 10.7% 8.7% 2.7%
Cameron Nash 8.7% 9.2% 9.7% 10.5% 11.3% 9.2% 11.7% 11.1% 9.0% 7.3% 2.3%
Thomas Whittemore 16.7% 15.9% 15.8% 12.2% 11.5% 9.8% 7.3% 5.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.1%
Ben Palmer 1.8% 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 7.8% 12.5% 22.1% 38.4%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.5% 3.9% 3.3% 4.4% 4.3% 7.9% 7.4% 11.6% 16.7% 21.7% 15.3%
Mott Blair 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 6.1% 7.3% 11.7% 21.6% 35.9%
Perham Black 8.0% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.7% 12.6% 10.3% 10.5% 10.4% 5.6% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.