Race 11A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Scott Rasmussen 9.7% 9.9% 11.9% 10.7% 12.3% 11.4% 13.5% 10.1% 6.3% 2.9% 1.3%
Perham Black 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.2% 10.2% 12.7% 10.2% 12.1% 10.9% 6.6% 1.7%
Jackson McCoy 19.7% 18.8% 15.0% 14.3% 11.0% 7.7% 7.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Michael O'Flaherty 7.9% 10.1% 8.4% 8.7% 10.5% 13.1% 11.9% 11.4% 11.3% 4.7% 2.0%
Thomas Whittemore 15.9% 14.5% 15.2% 12.9% 11.3% 9.4% 7.9% 6.0% 5.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Dylan Whitcraft 2.9% 3.6% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 10.5% 16.0% 21.5% 16.4%
Alexander Bowen 8.9% 9.0% 8.2% 10.1% 10.3% 11.0% 12.1% 10.9% 11.0% 5.5% 3.0%
Cameron Nash 8.9% 9.6% 9.8% 10.4% 12.1% 10.1% 9.7% 11.5% 10.4% 6.3% 1.2%
Mott Blair 1.8% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 2.7% 4.0% 4.7% 8.7% 11.3% 22.7% 36.1%
Kyle Dochoda 14.4% 12.2% 13.0% 12.4% 10.9% 9.8% 9.8% 8.1% 5.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Ben Palmer 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.0% 4.1% 5.1% 6.8% 10.5% 24.6% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.