Race 1B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Casey Cabot 15.0% 17.1% 14.2% 15.2% 14.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 18.7% 17.4% 15.8% 12.8% 12.0% 9.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
CJ Mckenna 10.8% 11.2% 13.1% 13.4% 12.2% 13.3% 10.6% 8.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Vincent Yannelli 5.5% 5.7% 7.9% 8.0% 9.9% 11.4% 13.9% 14.0% 10.5% 9.7% 3.5%
Thomas Walden 15.3% 14.8% 13.3% 12.9% 10.8% 12.2% 9.3% 6.0% 3.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Aidan naughton 18.0% 17.4% 15.4% 15.2% 10.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Teagan Cunningham 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 6.9% 8.8% 9.8% 13.4% 18.1% 15.5% 9.9%
Christos Karplus 5.2% 3.9% 6.4% 6.8% 8.7% 10.5% 11.3% 14.0% 13.0% 13.2% 7.0%
Peter Galloway 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 4.1% 3.8% 7.1% 9.9% 13.6% 23.7% 28.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.1% 4.6% 5.0% 8.0% 13.0% 19.0% 40.1%
Carter Brock 3.3% 5.0% 4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 7.7% 11.0% 13.4% 17.2% 14.4% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.