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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+3.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.15+2.91vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.66+0.35vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.38+6.28vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07-3.74vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.70-0.51vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.87+1.10vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.59-2.08vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-5.21vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.81-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.07-7.51vs Predicted
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16Amherst College2.01-5.35vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-13.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.35Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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12.28Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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4.26Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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11.1Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.46University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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10.65Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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4.61Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Strombeck | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Quentin Chafee | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Marshall | 12.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 36.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan White | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| John Giuliano | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Meleny | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Neal Drake | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| Weston Barlow | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Black | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.