Race 2B

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Walden 12.3% 13.8% 14.1% 15.2% 13.3% 11.2% 9.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Casey Cabot 16.9% 17.5% 15.9% 12.9% 11.1% 10.3% 8.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
CJ Mckenna 11.4% 11.2% 13.7% 12.6% 11.8% 12.2% 11.3% 9.0% 4.3% 2.2% 0.3%
Aidan naughton 17.7% 14.8% 15.2% 15.9% 11.7% 10.1% 7.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 19.3% 17.8% 14.7% 13.6% 12.6% 8.4% 5.9% 4.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Vincent Yannelli 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 9.7% 13.7% 11.8% 13.0% 10.7% 8.6% 3.5%
Teagan Cunningham 4.2% 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 7.6% 7.9% 10.5% 13.4% 16.1% 17.2% 9.8%
Peter Galloway 2.4% 2.1% 3.0% 2.3% 3.8% 5.2% 8.7% 10.3% 15.3% 19.3% 27.6%
Christos Karplus 4.6% 4.9% 4.2% 7.2% 7.6% 9.5% 10.5% 14.2% 16.0% 13.6% 7.7%
Corinne Poitras 1.4% 1.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.0% 4.0% 5.4% 8.1% 11.3% 19.6% 41.0%
Carter Brock 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 5.4% 7.8% 7.5% 10.9% 12.8% 16.6% 16.4% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.