Race 3B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Walden 12.0% 13.7% 13.9% 14.0% 13.7% 12.7% 9.6% 5.9% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 19.7% 18.0% 13.9% 12.7% 11.5% 10.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Casey Cabot 15.9% 14.2% 15.3% 15.0% 12.5% 11.1% 7.4% 5.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Christos Karplus 3.3% 4.4% 5.0% 6.8% 6.6% 8.6% 13.5% 14.7% 16.7% 12.9% 7.5%
Vincent Yannelli 6.2% 7.2% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 10.4% 12.0% 12.4% 11.4% 9.6% 3.1%
CJ Mckenna 12.8% 12.1% 13.0% 11.9% 14.1% 11.9% 9.8% 6.7% 5.0% 1.9% 0.8%
Teagan Cunningham 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 6.6% 9.4% 10.9% 13.5% 16.0% 15.2% 10.5%
Peter Galloway 2.7% 1.4% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 6.3% 7.8% 11.6% 14.6% 21.2% 25.6%
Corinne Poitras 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 7.3% 11.0% 21.6% 41.8%
Aidan naughton 18.8% 18.0% 15.2% 14.1% 12.4% 8.1% 6.7% 3.8% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Carter Brock 3.2% 4.6% 5.4% 6.5% 6.5% 7.7% 11.0% 14.1% 16.2% 14.9% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.