Race 4B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Bitney 16.2% 16.0% 16.7% 15.6% 12.6% 10.5% 7.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Thomas Walden 13.8% 15.3% 13.0% 13.8% 13.0% 11.4% 8.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Casey Cabot 14.6% 15.5% 16.2% 14.4% 14.4% 9.4% 6.6% 5.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 2.7% 3.3% 3.6% 4.8% 6.1% 7.3% 10.1% 14.1% 19.3% 17.0% 11.7%
CJ Mckenna 13.5% 12.7% 12.9% 12.3% 11.2% 11.7% 10.7% 6.8% 5.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Christos Karplus 4.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.1% 7.0% 9.9% 12.7% 15.1% 14.1% 12.9% 8.1%
Vincent Yannelli 7.3% 7.7% 7.3% 9.7% 10.0% 12.5% 13.3% 11.9% 10.4% 6.7% 3.2%
Peter Galloway 2.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 6.7% 8.1% 12.1% 13.4% 22.2% 24.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.4% 2.1% 1.2% 3.0% 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 8.4% 11.2% 19.1% 42.9%
Carter Brock 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.4% 8.5% 12.4% 12.7% 17.2% 16.5% 9.1%
Aidan naughton 20.1% 16.7% 16.5% 13.3% 12.8% 9.0% 5.2% 4.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.