Race 5B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
CJ Mckenna 10.8% 12.0% 13.0% 14.8% 12.1% 12.9% 11.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Vincent Yannelli 7.0% 6.0% 7.3% 8.5% 11.0% 11.5% 13.4% 13.0% 11.2% 8.2% 2.9%
Casey Cabot 16.4% 14.7% 16.5% 12.1% 12.3% 11.9% 7.2% 5.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Jack Bitney 17.4% 14.4% 15.0% 17.6% 11.9% 9.8% 6.5% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Peter Galloway 2.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.3% 4.5% 4.9% 7.2% 10.7% 13.6% 20.7% 28.6%
Teagan Cunningham 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 5.3% 5.3% 6.8% 10.6% 13.3% 17.9% 16.3% 12.8%
Thomas Walden 16.3% 16.8% 13.7% 12.1% 11.4% 10.9% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Christos Karplus 4.8% 5.3% 4.5% 7.3% 9.1% 9.7% 11.6% 13.8% 14.0% 14.2% 5.7%
Aidan naughton 17.3% 18.3% 14.7% 12.3% 11.4% 10.5% 7.4% 4.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Carter Brock 3.6% 4.1% 5.6% 5.1% 7.5% 7.6% 11.8% 12.0% 16.8% 15.5% 10.4%
Corinne Poitras 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 9.7% 11.6% 19.9% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.